Working Paper setting out WP2's methodologies

WP2 will employ surveying techniques, such as those utilised by the US-based Political Instability Task Force, for efficiently communicating the results of quantitative risk assessment models to workshop participants in a manner that allows the quantitative results inform workshop discussions. Drawing on these methods, WP2 will design a methodology for the foresight workshop process. Crucially, we will also pilot techniques that furthermore allow results from the workshop to feed into improvement of the quantitative models.