Simulated fire and vegetation dynamics at three spatial scales

Changes in future fire regimes will be characterized from projected fire variables (fire ignitions, burned area, fire intensity and fire-related carbon emissions) at the ET scale and contextualized using available EO data. A seasonal forecast system will quantify future changes in fire regimes and the fire-propagation potential at the ET scale and for the DA Sardinia. Analysis of changes in future fire extremes will be based on projections from the fire-enabled DGVMs, fine-fuel moisture models and atmospheric-stability metrics.