D3.3. Report on modelling the environmental impact of trade and sustainability policies

The objective of D2.3. is to assess the impact of international agricultural trade on achievement of climate goals, in line with SDGs (mainly Goal 13). GTAP_CGE-Box will be employed to evaluate the impact of specific trade agreements, energy and climate policies on CO2 and non-CO2 emissions (i.e. N2O, CH4) and water pollution. The ways to mitigate GHG emissions through international trade globally and methods to avoid relocation of pollution sources due to trade shifts are to be estimated and analysed.Hence, the G-RDEM module of CGE-Box will be used in particular since it draws on a set of projections for the so-called SSPs (Shared Socio-Economic Pathways) developed for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This task will establish the role of agri-food trade in achieving SDGs taking into account especially two things. First, monitoring the displacement effect - as Europe strives to achieve goals of the European Green Deal, through e.g. Paris Agreement, which is crucial to ensure avoiding the GHG leakage to other countries, e.g. Ghana, Vietnam. Second, taking into account future scenarios of global development based on SSPs. The task will provide arguments for new/better policies for trade taking into account environmental measures as tools of climate change mitigation and reduction of pollution (e.g. water).